COVID-19: Worldwide, only about six percent of all Coronavirus detected infections
In Germany, more than 100,000 people with the novel Coronavirus SARS-Cov have been infected, according to official Figures, now-2. Worldwide, more than 1.2 million infections were recorded. However, according to a new study, is apparently recognized only a small part of the cases.
The number of infections with the novel Coronavirus SARS-Cov-2 is possibly in all affected countries, is considerably higher than previously assumed. Researchers from the University of Göttingen to take that around the world, on average, only about six percent of all infections were detected.
Worldwide, tens of millions of Infected?
According to a recent communication from the University of Göttingen, the development economist Dr. Christian Bommer and Professor Dr. Sebastian Vollmer estimates of the mortality of COVID-19, and the time to death from a recently in the journal “The Lancet Infectious Diseases” published study used to test the quality of the official case records.
The calculations of the researchers imply that the actual number of Infected could be in the world have already reached tens of millions. Your results are online on the website of the University of göttingen are available.
Inadequate and delayed Tests
As stated in the notice of the University, might explain the inadequate and delayed Tests, why some European countries such as Italy and Spain are paying much higher casualties (compared to the reported confirmed cases) than Germany.
According to the figures here to date estimate were found 15.6 percent of infections, compared with only 3.5 per cent in Italy, or 1.7 percent, in Spain.
In the United States (1.6 percent) and the UK (1.2 per cent) rates are the discovery of even lower – two countries that have been criticized by Experts and public health experts because of their delayed response to the pandemic widely.
Vast majority of infections go undetected as yet
In sharp contrast, half of all SARS-CoV seems to be in South Korea almost-2 infections in the country have been discovered. The authors estimate that in Germany up to 31. March 2020 were around occurred of 460,000 infections.
On the basis of the same method the experts calculate that in the United States, over ten million, in Spain about five million and in Italy about three millions and in the UK approximately two million infections have occurred.
On the same day, the Johns Hopkins University (USA) reported that globally, there were less than 900,000 confirmed cases, which means that the vast majority of the infections remained undetected.
In the meantime (as of: 06.04.2020) are, according to the US-American University in the world, more than 1.2 million, and in Germany, over 100,000 infections known.
Official case numbers do not provide helpful information
“These results mean that governments and political decision numbers makers in the Interpretation of the case-planning purposes, extreme caution have to leave,” says Vollmer.
“Such extreme differences in the extent and quality of the in different countries carried out Tests mean that the official case numbers no helpful information to provide,” explains the scientist.
“The ability to detect new infections and thus the spread of the Virus to contain, needs to be urgently improved,” adds Bommer.
Infections through more testing to contain
Other experts see a similar. So Researchers pointed from Italy recently, it increased Corona-Tests, the infections to reduce could.
It is pleasing to note, therefore, that antibodies are rapid tests available.
In addition, the test the capacity to detect the new Coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2 could be increased with a new procedure in the world dramatically. (ad)